Any fight card with Anderson Silva is a fight card that I want to see. This coming Saturday Anderson Silva will defend his middleweight strap against Patrick Cote in the main event of UFC 90 live from the suburbs of Chicago.
Anderson Silva vs. Patrick Cote
Silva is a heavy, heavy favorite to say the least. Cote is ‘heavy-handed’ or at least that is what the UFC is going to tell you. Anyone has that ‘punchers chance’– as they say. But lets just say that if you bet on this fight at the ground level before all the money started to pour in on Silva; you should be feeling pretty good.
The hype for this fight is hurt by a lack of English speaking skills by both fighters. Cote is Canadian and sounds very similar to GSP. Not so intimidating. Silva on the other hand speaks very little English which hurts the UFC’s promotion abilities.
Silva has beat every big name at middleweight while Cote started his UFC career 0-4 until this current turn-around of 4 straight wins against mediocre talent.
If you fight any expert or simply any blogging fan that is taking Cote here–they are doing so to be different or try to ‘predict’ a big upset. it ain’t happening. A good prop bet would be whether this one makes it out of the first round. Silva has never seen the 3rd round in the UFC and 4/7 of his fights he has ended in the first. I would definitely look for a 1st or 2nd round stoppage again on Saturday.
Prediction–Silva (TKO, R1)
Where does Silva go from here? This is my prediction. Silva will fight at 205 next and very soon too. Silva likes to fight every 2 months or so. So maybe on the end of the year Ultimate 2008 card. As far as at middleweight, there is one more intriguing fight and it will be the winner of the Dan Henderson/Rich Franklin/Michael Bisping round robin (The winner of Hendo/Franklin is taking on Bisping by next Winter/Spring). This gives Silva a couple fights at 205 and a great chance to win the light heavyweight strap.
Josh Koscheck vs. Thiago Alves
I want to talk about what shape these guys are going to be in. They are fighting at 170. Now, Koscheck took this fight on less than 2 weeks notice after Diego Sanchez went down with a torn rib cage (damn that even sounds painful). While Alves, is a big 170-pounder and cuts a lot of weight–sometimes taking a toll on him physically.
However, from all accounts Koscheck is focused and in shape because he was already in a camp for his scheduled December 10th fight. MDS over at Fanhouse spoke with Alves the other day and Thiago says he weighs 181 and that is the lightest he has ever weighed this far out from a fight. So again it looks like both are ready to go.
This is a tough one. Alves is a strong, strong striker. Kos is a great wrestler. It’s going to be whoever can impose their will on the other that comes away victorious. Kos should look to score point with take downs and frustrate Alves. Alves’ sprawl and take down defense should get tested again just as it did in the Matt Hughes fight. He passed with flying colors last time; Hughes ended up on top of him once in the first round and Alves was able to fight his way to his feet.
I’ve pick Dustin Hazelett to stop Koscheck two fights ago but Kos looks really good and won.
Prediction–Koscheck (Unanimous Decision)
Originally, the winner of the Diego Sanchez-Thiago Alves fight was to get a shot at the winner of the GSP-Penn superfight. Now it looks like if Kos does come out on top he will be keeping his December 10th fight to boost his resume and then likely get a title shot if he wins both bouts.
Sean Sherk vs. Tyson Griffin
Everyone wants to know if Sherk is back. Can he put his past troubles with steroid allegations to rest. It really is a must win for him as far as staying a top tier lightweight.
Both fighters have beaten some very stiff competition. A win elevates them to the title picture. A picture
Sherk has great jits and great cardio. He is also big and can throw. That is why he was champ. I can’t look past him, simple as that. I’ll take Sherk with no disrespect to Tyson.
Prediction–Sherk (TKO R2)
There is a hold on the lightweight title as Penn attempts to go up in wait and beat GSP. That being said, Sherk probably needs another good win and then he is looking a a title shot. If a very capable Griffin wins than the same is true.
The Best of the Rest
Rich Clementi vs. Gray Maynard — I like Maynard from what I know of him and I love the guys he trains with. He is a great, accomplished wrestler but to take the words out of Junie Allen Browning’s big mouth; “…just what the UFC needs; another boring-ass wrestler!”. From what I’ve seen, I don’t know if Gray can finish a fight yet. Clementi has a lot of experience. I haven’t looked but I wouldn’t be so surprised is Gray was favored too. If this one goes the distance a couple things will been true; it will be boring and Gray will win. I’ll take Clementi to finish this one in an upset.
Fabricio Werdum vs. Junior Dos Santos — Werdum is coming off two good wins. Not great but definitely good. He has said that he wants to be in the heavyweight title picture. He has to win Saturday or there is zero chance of that happening anytime soon. Santos is a relative unknown; he is from Brazil. I know he is making his UFC debut so this is a dangerous fight to pick and a dangerous trap fight for Fabricio. I think Werdum will be better on the ground and as long as he uses that to his advantage then he will take the win home.
This being said Junior is the biggest dog on the card; bigger than Cote! I’ve seen a couple of his fights and I’ve seen some footage of his training. He is good. However, he has definitely never fought anyone even close to Werdum’s level.
There are a couple reasons why the line is so in favor of Werdum. First, he is great and is in the title hunt as I stated. However, remember these lines are not necessarily a representation of a fighters actual odds of winning. They set by the sportsbook to loose the least amount of money and collect on the vig that they take from each bet made. So this just means that everyone is pouring money on Werdum because no one knows who Dos Santos is. He has never fought in the UFC but you have to start somewhere. So I believe this line to be inflated due to these factors. If you like to gamble a bit I suggest putting a wager on Dos Santos–I will be.
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